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 楼主| 发表于 2024-8-28 12:33 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 亚太地区
建平王 发表于 2024-8-28 08:32
瓷器国人一向人来疯的,没有张网红也会有别的网红指导填志愿把现在的好专业将来变的供过于求的

所以我说张网红只是催化剂,根本原因还是这片土地。但是不能深说,即使本站本版块也有很多人没有自我分析的能力,网红说的都是对的
发表于 2024-8-28 15:58 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
普通人读大学无非3个出路:出国、转码(或者说追求高薪)、考公(或者说追求稳定)。 本科计算机,保留了这3种可能,(公务员招计算机专业相对也多),如果没有别的爱好的,已经是相对好的选择了。
发表于 2024-8-28 16:22 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
ooichen 发表于 2024-8-26 14:50
问题是对于大部分普通家庭孩子,没有top院校级别的学历,连门都进不去,打杂都没资格。而且打杂也分在写 ...

很多行业都具有这样的特点 只要能到那个位置上 半年一年的培训 基本能做下来 但是怎么能到那个位置了?没关系没背景 好学校学历才可能被看上
发表于 2024-8-28 16:26 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
专业大致分7类:文理工商医法艺,一般来说,工商医法是本专业直接就业的,文理除了教师考公几个出路以外,一般是要转专业的。计算机科学,可以算理科,也可以算工科,兼有双方的属性
发表于 2024-8-28 16:36 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
trishaliu 发表于 2024-8-27 14:51
进来学习了。
张网红一开始对专业还不熟悉时,他蛮适合启蒙的,后来我自己做深功课后,发现他讲的东西是个 ...

中国大部分地区的父母还是没有那么了解的 想当年我们报专业也是啥也不懂,一腔热情想报环境工程,我老爸一小学二年级文化拦住我不让报,说村子里有个这专业出出来的找不到工作,当然我报的肯定是985,村里那不知道是啥不知名的学校的 后来我听我们班男同学说信息工程就是建设信息高速公路 听上去很高级 就报了
只是想说张的存在还是某种程度上对于大部分不懂得家长和学子有帮助的 最起码可以打个问号
发表于 2024-8-29 13:23 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
张劝退很多报考文科的,也是功德无量。
发表于 2024-8-29 20:31 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国
到了40+,要信命。专业的事,绞尽脑汁,都是命
发表于 2024-8-29 20:33 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国
就算土建,只要有干劲,心头有不灭火,其他行业也是认的。毕竟学艺无谓前后,修行只在自己
发表于 2024-8-30 09:20 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
我看过张的视频,我觉得他其实是想大家都做自己眼中更好的自己。
发表于 2024-8-30 11:26 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
enihoho 发表于 2024-8-24 23:20
20年前我选专业的时候就听说计算机好了快10年了,大概要不火了。(事实上我同期优秀的人还是很多选了计算机 ...

那会是网络泡沫,也是一波搞了很多人。后来低谷,再后来移动互联网一波,现在踩踏了。几年就是一个循环。AI之后,非创意类的执行层面的脑力劳动越来越难,怎么卷都卷不过算法,大数据和几乎无限的算力。
发表于 2024-8-30 15:58 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
AI远未成熟,大有机会。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-8-30 16:23 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
CS是否穷途末路了,其实老外也在讨论。赞同的也不少。

比如下面的这段话:

I entered university in 2022, and before that year, cs was like the hottest major and every student  wanted to be admitted to this major. But ever since that very year, the situation has been getting worse and worse and now everyone worries that they can’t find a job. So what’s the main cause of this huge shift, is it only for the emergence of GPT or there exist many other reasons?


但是客观说,中美两国无论传统CS还是新兴的AI业态完全不同,无法互为参考。

下面我贴一段老外的话给大家看看(另外的角度,和我们中国只看能否赚钱不太一样):


A message for CS doomers - Must Read
I think this needs to be addressed on this subreddit. I keep seeing post here that talk about "am I cooked" or "is CS even worth it", these need to stop.

If you have to ask this question online, someone is always going to say yes so that they can make you feel more likely to give up to pseudo-boost their chances elsewhere.

Here what I have to say as a professional in this space.

1. Have passion and care about what you do.
If you are someone who has always been fond of CS as a kid, teen, or even in college, going into it whether it was for money, because it was "cool", sounds "cool", or anything like that but then found a love for it, you will always have an infinitely better chance at opportunities in this space because of your optimism and passion.

I feel like sometimes people forget that CS is an overall encompassing skill. You could be an SRE, System Admin, Network Admin, DB Admin, Cloud engineer (SRE kinda), Software Consultant, Kernel engineer, AI/ML engineer, and so. much. more.

SWE is not the ONLY path that exists, and it's definitely not for everyone.

Kernel engineers are a dying breed. That is a future proof job. Especially with advancements in native containerization technology. AI will probably never have the capabilities to build such a Kernel in probably the next 5-10 years. People aren't just randomly sharing entire kernel code online, and I doubt it's a large subset of that type of code in its training model.

SWE is saturated, yes, but its more of a what stack is saturated the most. Most schools are only teaching backend and frontend development. There are going to be infinitely more competition in this space, but as stated above there are more than just SWE.

2. For the "Is CS worth if AI is gong to take my job?"
AI isn't going to take your job. You know who is more likely to take your job?
Joe Shmoe who graduated from a California school that's across the street from the company you applied to. Yes it's unfair, but logistically it makes more sense.
Or some international junior dev they hired to underpay. That does complicate the process for breaking into entry SWE nowadays, but above and beyond that is still a very strong market for junior+ talent.

3. Understand that the market shifted
Although the scariest part of this post, it's true. It may never shift back. In a more remote work environment, there will probably be less people at new companies on average. And some of that can be contributed to having no physical office. Renting an office for 4k a month to have 5 people seems like a waste. It may make companies want to hire more to fill the space and now having an office with more people leads to more jobs needed to maintain.

But this isn't the only way the market has shifted. Companies are now in control in this job market - not us. Having company loyalty is now more of a thing of the past, unless you are working for a small/medium size company, or the government. And employees may not get that edge back for a longer while.

4. Stop stressing over applications to companies that were prestigiously known to be hard in the first place
I don't think many people on this subreddit still remember a time where going to a big company as a NG was somewhat rarer than it is today. I think most of the people on this Reddit are based west coast, so they are more biased but as someone who now lives in the east coast, I think it's fine to go for smaller jobs. I see many posts about applying to over 400 jobs and heard nothing. You need to evaluate whether or not what you are actually applying to would be seen as you being qualified. Do you stand out enough, and learn to gain an edge. Leetcode is not the only way. Lots of jobs don't even use OA's or coding challenges to assess candidates.

And hell, I'll say it. Government tech jobs are OK. Notoriously known for being slow, lower paying, and archaic. We trained a generation of people who will refuse to work for the most sound/stable job in the world. A US government tech job! More stable than being a career politician! If more experienced and advanced people stepped into government jobs, they could shape and shift to more agile, better systems, and higher paying, making it more appealing to traditionally private sector workers. This would probably also force companies to be better since they'd be losing talent to work in a very chill, non hostile, WLB environment. But many of the people here will just apply to a job they know will work them 55+ hours a week because they'd rather not be seen dead working for a govt. job...

5. Be comfortable with moving.
Whether it's to states like CA, WA, NY, NJ, NC, DC, VA, MD (states with some of the highest paying jobs), don't base your life moves on whether you can make 200K TC as a NG in Cali. 150K in DC could be the same as living in SF or around, after accounting for the "Cali tax" of everything being expensive. There's too many unemployed people in CA trying to break into tech markets in the first place. Don't be a sheep. Many companies are moving from west coast or creating HQ2's in other states or going completely remote.

6. Some ways to stand out in an increasingly competitive market
The number one easiest way to stand out to companies nowadays I will say is to seem like you actual enjoy being a dev. You can show this by doing open source projects. Have a library you like, and see a bug, README issue, or something else? Learn to contribute to that open source community. You can get to know community members and even network with them.

Even for non programmers, such as linux admins, DBA, networking or Cloud engineers, we fortunately live in a time where all of this can be learned for free. Can even experiment spinning up some demos, recording and/or making a personal portfolio.

Don't know where to start? Just ask AI. In a reddit culture that is keen on an algorithm that takes millions of dollars of GPUs to predict the next 10 lines of code that will take their job, use it to get ahead.

Edit:

This post isn’t for negativity. I’m expressing to other passionate souls some things that will help ease the burden of doomer mentality that runs rampant in this dark forum. Nothing I said is a solution, even though I gave actionable things that could help. I also understand the job market is rough, my post isn’t to convey that everyone will find a job. Just that the one who try hard will.

If you are one of the people who is willing to switch majors because you think 2 years of an overall decreased job market opportunity has forever destroyed your chance at landing a job in tech, then do it. It means you never cared about the craft in the first place. It will clear up the real interested people from the cons.


发表于 2024-9-14 16:15 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国重庆
admin 发表于 2024-8-26 13:00
对于90%+的家庭来说,不是能否去供电局(国家电网),而是根本进不去。 无论什么年代供电局都不是你想去 ...

华北电力大学2个校区每年上千人进电网工作,难道全部都有关系?
发表于 2024-10-6 16:46 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
本帖最后由 cqfclifford 于 2024-10-6 17:03 编辑

很想知道是什么原因让老大在两年间有了这么大的观念转变?

Vivian539 发表于 2022-7-4 12:01
怎么说呢,学计算机,35岁以前996,35岁以后等着被裁员,也好苦。


都是网上的说法,我这个30年前学CS计算机的,都快50了,也没被裁员

实际上我一个都没看到36岁程序员找不到工作的,说这个话的人不知道现在计算机市场多火爆(我高中同学也快50岁了,还是基层码农,现在也活得很好---他情商比较低,升不上去。但是不妨碍做个资深技术--工资么当然不算很高,但是秒杀其他90%+的行业没问题)。

火爆了30年了,最少会再火爆10年以上--太久远的事情我不敢说





有志者事竟成,破釜沉舟,百二秦关终属楚。
苦心人天不负,卧薪尝胆,三千越甲可吞吴。





发表于 2024-10-7 11:19 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
xdog 发表于 2024-09-14 16:15
华北电力大学2个校区每年上千人进电网工作,难道全部都有关系?

只有身边直系亲属在里面上班才知道比较客观的情况,这些地方都是不公开的。烟草公司也一样,外面的人永远只是听说,只有在里面的人才知道进入的门槛是啥
 楼主| 发表于 2024-10-28 14:43 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
cqfclifford 发表于 2024-10-6 16:46
很想知道是什么原因让老大在两年间有了这么大的观念转变?

人工智能太可怕了,他革掉的第一个命就是传统cs的

2年前对人工智能接触不多不太了解,现在是太可怕了。全方位的
发表于 2024-10-29 10:04 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
admin 发表于 2024-10-28 14:43
人工智能太可怕了,他革掉的第一个命就是传统cs的

2年前对人工智能接触不多不太了解,现在是太可怕了 ...

传统CS指的是基层码农?

打不过就加入,研究生转人工智能
 楼主| 发表于 2024-10-29 11:50 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
cqfclifford 发表于 2024-10-29 10:04
传统CS指的是基层码农?

打不过就加入,研究生转人工智能

包括码农和运维,我们公司已经在用NLP/NLU (马上就上LLM)做IT的支持和运维, helpdesk工程师和装电脑的被大量裁员(也包括高端的运维,比如网络、服务器等)。搞不好我明年也就被裁了

如果拿到了大礼包,我没事就给大家开直播聊着玩,你们负责给我刷小火箭
发表于 2024-10-29 13:12 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
应该要细分,未来一段时间,软件大概只有算法,硬件大概是芯片有好日子过。
门槛不太高的,都要被替代。
发表于 2024-10-29 15:14 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
admin 发表于 2024-10-29 11:50
包括码农和运维,我们公司已经在用NLP/NLU (马上就上LLM)做IT的支持和运维, helpdesk工程师和装电脑的 ...

听起来前景一片暗淡啊!我们现在就要面临专业方向选择了。。。

最近也发现身边有朋友去搞AI数字人视频去了,问题是这么搞下去,以后有能力刷火箭的人也越来越少了啊!
发表于 2024-10-29 16:19 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
感觉这种几万个参数的大模型是死路一条。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-10-29 16:37 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
vitem2009 发表于 2024-10-29 13:12
应该要细分,未来一段时间,软件大概只有算法,硬件大概是芯片有好日子过。
门槛不太高的,都要被替代。

是的, 是个CS就容易找工作拿高薪的工作一去不复返了
 楼主| 发表于 2024-10-29 16:38 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
Bud 发表于 2024-10-29 16:19
感觉这种几万个参数的大模型是死路一条。

LLM今年秋招已经有问题了,工作不好找。

CS/AI的变化在未来几年将会淘汰得更快,LLM的好日子才过了2、3年
 楼主| 发表于 2024-10-29 16:43 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
cqfclifford 发表于 2024-10-29 10:04
传统CS指的是基层码农?

打不过就加入,研究生转人工智能

多说一句, 人工智能也有很多细分方向,有些方向也接近死了

举个最简单的例子,前几年的NLP够热吧, 结果被神经网络和深度学习就给活活干死了,目前还在死亡列表上的不少

我很悲哀地说一句,所有IT人的饭碗都是被IT人搞死了。想当年我刚毕业的时候有图形化操作界面的unix就很少,而且即使有图形化操作界面,很多事情也不能做,必须在命令行下执行。那时候装一台unix服务器基本要大半天的时间,操作系统、硬件驱动、数据库、账号权限等等(6-8小时真的很正常)。现在都上云了,外行人很轻松1小时就搞定

我工作后配置思科路由器、防火墙、交换机,客户看到我都觉得很神奇,那么一个黑盒子你们怎么配置的,超级终端的配置更是令人神奇,console线接一下就出来命令行。

册那,现在全部是图形化或web配置,真的是傻子就能配置。以前配置路由器好麻烦的,从局端要信息,内外网的子网掩码或默认路由,还要搞个accesslist,定义一下NAT的规则,没有半小时甚至更多根本搞不完(如果万一有troubleshooting,可能几个小时甚至几天,而web配置界面只需要输入几个 很简单的参数,配置通不过都很难,除非参数输入错了).....

现在傻瓜书操作5分钟全搞定
发表于 2024-10-29 17:04 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国浙江嘉兴
我很悲哀地说一句,所有IT人的饭碗都是被IT人搞死了
这个总结的太经典了。
发表于 2024-10-29 17:05 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
其实殡葬业不嫌弃的话蛮好的,哈哈
还有动物医学和动物科学,以后都是独生子女,家长养宠物肯定多过抱孙子。
还有么护工护士,肯定也不会失业
 楼主| 发表于 2024-10-30 15:44 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 亚太地区
cqfclifford 发表于 2024-10-6 16:46
很想知道是什么原因让老大在两年间有了这么大的观念转变?

https://www.businessinsider.in/t ... eshow/114752080.cms

刚刚看到一个英文版的新闻,自己去看看,我不知道你能否访问墙外新闻,但是从题目就可以看出内容了。

知道为啥FANNG(类似我们的BAT)玩命裁员但是不怎么找新人了吧。 四分之一强的代码都是AI写的,想想看你学码农的意义是啥?

更何况AI迭代升级太快了,4年后如何? 7年后又如何?

特别是想起来很多小学生初中生家长让孩子学编程,还以为将来做码农拿高薪呢,呵呵
 楼主| 发表于 2024-10-30 15:50 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 亚太地区
zhuzhian 发表于 2024-10-29 17:04
我很悲哀地说一句,所有IT人的饭碗都是被IT人搞死了
这个总结的太经典了。

一个在IT业界摸爬滚打了将近30年的人,真的看过太多东西了

哪怕明年把我裁了,我这辈子也无所谓了----错过所有的风口但是也基本都在第一线。孩子没几年就可以挣钱了,老两口对物质要求都很低。

但是孩子们将来做什么,真的别再相信张网红这些人的观点了,他其实对几乎所有行业都根本不了解。包括说什么数学系是好专业万金油,他但凡知道北大数院的基本情况都不会这么说了

加入哪个行业,这是一辈子的大事。而行业如何,去找个行业的大拿哪怕是有几年工作经验的一线从业人员,也比看这些网红的视频或收费咨询强得多
发表于 2024-10-30 17:09 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
admin 发表于 2024-10-30 15:44
https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/news/google-ceo-says-more-than-a-quarter-of-the-companys-new-c ...

外网看不了,不过大概能知道是什么意思了。https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_29189097

国际围堵经济下行就业恶劣再叠加AI这个buff的负面影响,对家里没有矿可以继承的家长已经很难了,还得去预测4年或7年后的专业和行业形势及走向,太难为人了
发表于 2024-10-30 17:29 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
admin 发表于 2024-10-30 15:44
https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/news/google-ceo-says-more-than-a-quarter-of-the-companys-new-c ...

美丽国一个亲戚的孩子,已是本地身份,去年东海岸某大学计算机毕业去FANNG之中的大厂实习,说是原来基本90%的美国实习生结束后都能留下来,结果去年留的人很少,只能继续找实习机会。今年也没好意思问是否有着落了
发表于 2024-10-31 10:54 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
但从就业面来说,CS专业确实更宽口径(类似以前的财会,各行各业都有需求)且有技术壁垒
 楼主| 发表于 2024-10-31 11:02 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
张斯美 发表于 2024-10-31 10:54
但从就业面来说,CS专业确实更宽口径(类似以前的财会,各行各业都有需求)且有技术壁垒

不要看现状而是看趋势,最近5年的趋势,如果cs相比于其他行业,包括你说的财会也包括传统天坑生化环材或者传统文科中文历史。

因为这个板块的孩子就业少则七八年后多则十几年后的事情了

我不是说cs不好,而是说cs细分很多方向,这里面相当多数的方向接近死亡了。而且cs和生化环材或土木建筑这种周期性不一样,cs死了就是死了,没可能复活的
发表于 2024-10-31 15:27 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国广东汕头
按照人口的趋势,我感觉接下来师范专业可能也会越来越冷门
发表于 2024-10-31 15:39 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
enihoho 发表于 2024-08-24 23:20
20年前我选专业的时候就听说计算机好了快10年了,大概要不火了。(事实上我同期优秀的人还是很多选了计算机)
为啥还经久不衰了这么多年。我都觉得挺神奇。

因为在发展,20年前用啥语言,现在用啥。更新系统,更新应用,更新接口。。。都倒腾几遍了。
发表于 2024-11-1 08:07 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国江苏徐州
持续学习啊。人工智能里的back propagation就很类似equalizer里的decision feedback,这东西在网卡、硬盘里司空见惯,但是老树新花了。
发表于 2024-11-1 10:09 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国
现阶段ai写的代码能用吗,起伏太大,有时候写的不错,有时候完全是瞎编。cs就是一直有新东西出来,对老人不友好,不过行业这样才能长青,机械机构很多都是几十年不变
发表于 2024-11-2 09:51 来自手机浏览器 | 显示全部楼层 来自: 中国上海
这是一种筛选。工具不能代替思考。
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